the cheapest car insurance cost of car insurance best car insurance quotes insurance auto insurance quotes car get car insurance quotes online car insurance agent instant car insurance quote car insurance websites direct car insurance insure a car motor car insurance quote cheap car insurance online quotes for car insurance car insurers commercial car insurance motor insurance quote car insurance quotes online get a quote online international health insurance compare car insurance quotes insurance for car compare car insurance car insurance buy life insurance online compare auto insurance international medical insurance general car insurance cheap motor insurance low car insurance car insurance comparison company car insurance budget car insurance private health insurance online quote car insurance cheap motor car insurance car insurance for new drivers cheap car insurance quotes online online car insurance quotes get car insurance quotes car insurance quotes comparison motor car insurance car insurance quotes car insurance cheap comprehensive car insurance best auto insurance short term health insurance motor insurance cheap online car insurance online motor insurance quotes car insurance california buycarinsurance online vehicle insurance free car insurance quotes landlord insurance health insurance for children motorbike insurance monthly car insurance car insurance usa car insurance reviews car insurance renewal quotes vehicle insurance health insurance rates term life insurance quotes vehicle insurance quotes car insurance compare motor vehicle insurance best car insurance motor insurance online quote car insurance online quote life insurance online supplemental health insurance best car insurance rates car insurance discounts motor vehicle insurance quotes auto insurance cheap travel insurance bike insurance travel medical insurance buy car insurance online online motor insurance travel insurance quote get a quote for car insurance health insurance agent car insurance companies cheap car insurance companies travel insurance annual travel insurance commercial vehicle insurance permanent life insurance medical insurance quotes online car insurance cheap car insurance quotes car insurance online quote insurance online level term life insurance health insurance comparison how much is car insurance travel health insurance pet health insurance quotes on cars health ins travel insurance uk quote for car insurance get insurance quote online disability insurance quote temporary health insurance temporary insurance rental car insurance cheap health insurance auto insurance compare third party car insurance buy health insurance auto insurance quotes cheap insurance companies best term life insurance personal health insurance online quote insurance car insurance premium health insurance policies quotes for cars whole life insurance credit insurance cheap van insurance cheap term life insurance cheap motorcycle insurance compare life insurance car insurance cover health insurance motorcycle insurance short term car insurance health insurance coverage insurance qoute cheap life insurance house insurance quote car insurance uk health insurance companies cigna health insurance cheap insurance cheap car insurance uk compare health insurance car insurance for young drivers short term insurance online health insurance caravan insurance life insurance comparison direct insurance health insurance plans motor insurance online car insurance estimator accident insurance home insurance quotes nj car insurance new car insurance private medical insurance home insurance car insurance brokers car insurance rates commercial insurance health insurance quotes motor insurance companies which car insurance car quotes online online auto insurance flood insurance cheap auto insurance quotes car insurance agencies business health insurance term life insurance truck insurance professional indemnity insurance life insurance car insurance policy long term care insurance drive insurance buy insurance car ins motorcycle insurance quote critical illness insurance term insurance student health insurance home insurance comparison insurance rates insurance cover holiday insurance insurance sites online vehicle insurance quotes company website home insurance rates compare insurance buy insurance online affordable medical insurance car insurance coverage product liability insurance home contents insurance buy life insurance renters insurance group health insurance family health insurance motor insurance quote online mortgage insurance best home insurance personal insurance medical insurance property insurance life insurance agent group insurance aetna health insurance cheap medical insurance liability insurance rental insurance life insurance policy group life insurance general liability insurance insurance quotes online all car insurance companies best health insurance insurance plans life insurance for seniors van insurance website quote universal life insurance building insurance co insurance insurance car car insurance prices disability insurance insurance vehicle cheap vehicle insurance senior life insurance medical insurance plans insurance health house insurance life insurance quotes car quotes cheap home insurance business insurance com bank credit card lowest credit card eligibility no fee credit cards best credit card compare how can i apply for credit card business credit cards cheapest credit card company credit card corporate credit card apply for a credit card online 0 apr credit cards how can i get credit card get a credit card open credit card usa credit card instant credit card approval store credit cards credit card shopping airline miles credit card frequent flyer credit cards hotel credit cards best credit card deals compare credit miles credit card credit card consolidation college student credit cards how do i apply for a credit card gold credit card how to open credit card apply for credit card eligibility for credit card credit card verification credit card offers online credit card application form which credit card to apply how can i get a credit card credit card online apply credit cards uk 0 credit cards looking for credit card offers credit card information bank credit card application travel credit cards what is a credit card credit card sign up master credit card cash back cards platinum credit card compare visa cards credit bank credit card no interest credit cards cheap credit cards 0 credit card offers online credit new credit cards application of credit card how to apply for credit card apply card credit online credit card deals premier credit card mastercard credit card how to get credit card apply credit card credit card application credit companies creditcard cash back credit cards airline credit cards cash credit card credit card rates student credit cards apply credit card online how to apply credit card interest free credit card secured credit card best travel credit card capital one credit card online credit card application credit cards with no annual fee new credit card offers apply online credit card credit card apply online best rewards credit card city credit card how to get a credit card credit card counseling rebate credit card mastercard debit card credit card debt best credit cards to apply for best credit cards apply for credit card online credit card apply how to apply for a credit card apply for new credit card credit card rebate best credit card comparison apply for visa card online cim credit card good credit cards credit card cash back best cash back credit cards mastercard credit card application credit card checker credit card mastercard instant credit card card compare credit card rewards programs compare the best credit cards apply visa card cash rebate credit card bankruptcy credit cards card offers instant approval credit cards credit card online application credit cards for students how to sign up for credit card uk credit cards credit card account about credit card visa card apply online credit card compare site secured mastercard visa card application credit card rewards credit rating how can we get credit card visa credit card rewards card online credit card processing capital credit card credit card visa consolidate credit cards credit card processing credit card reviews apply new credit card business credit card application credit cards with cash back credit card reader credit card instant approval online apply credit card bad credit credit cards credit card selection online visa card pay with credit card credit card charges visa or mastercard credit card machine apply a credit card small business credit cards prepaid debit cards visa debit card mbna credit card credit card terminal card credit application credit card generator credit card balance credit card numbers credit card transfer credit card interest rates credit card interest gold card credit card online best rate credit cards credit card low interest visa card online online credit card how to apply a credit card 0 interest credit cards debit card the cheapest car insurance cost of car insurance best car insurance quotes insurance auto insurance quotes car get car insurance quotes online car insurance agent instant car insurance quote car insurance websites direct car insurance insure a car motor car insurance quote cheap car insurance online quotes for car insurance car insurers commercial car insurance motor insurance quote car insurance quotes online get a quote online international health insurance compare car insurance quotes insurance for car compare car insurance car insurance buy life insurance online compare auto insurance international medical insurance general car insurance cheap motor insurance low car insurance car insurance comparison company car insurance budget car insurance private health insurance online quote car insurance cheap motor car insurance car insurance for new drivers cheap car insurance quotes online online car insurance quotes get car insurance quotes car insurance quotes comparison motor car insurance car insurance quotes car insurance cheap comprehensive car insurance best auto insurance short term health insurance motor insurance cheap online car insurance online motor insurance quotes car insurance california buycarinsurance online vehicle insurance free car insurance quotes landlord insurance health insurance for children motorbike insurance monthly car insurance car insurance usa car insurance reviews car insurance renewal quotes vehicle insurance health insurance rates term life insurance quotes vehicle insurance quotes car insurance compare motor vehicle insurance best car insurance motor insurance online quote car insurance online quote life insurance online supplemental health insurance best car insurance rates car insurance discounts motor vehicle insurance quotes auto insurance cheap travel insurance bike insurance travel medical insurance buy car insurance online online motor insurance travel insurance quote get a quote for car insurance health insurance agent car insurance companies cheap car insurance companies travel insurance annual travel insurance commercial vehicle insurance permanent life insurance medical insurance quotes online car insurance cheap car insurance quotes car insurance online quote insurance online level term life insurance health insurance comparison how much is car insurance travel health insurance pet health insurance quotes on cars health ins travel insurance uk quote for car insurance get insurance quote online disability insurance quote temporary health insurance temporary insurance rental car insurance cheap health insurance auto insurance compare third party car insurance buy health insurance auto insurance quotes cheap insurance companies best term life insurance personal health insurance online quote insurance car insurance premium health insurance policies quotes for cars whole life insurance credit insurance cheap van insurance cheap term life insurance cheap motorcycle insurance compare life insurance car insurance cover health insurance motorcycle insurance short term car insurance health insurance coverage insurance qoute cheap life insurance house insurance quote car insurance uk health insurance companies cigna health insurance cheap insurance cheap car insurance uk compare health insurance car insurance for young drivers short term insurance online health insurance caravan insurance life insurance comparison direct insurance health insurance plans motor insurance online car insurance estimator accident insurance home insurance quotes nj car insurance new car insurance private medical insurance home insurance car insurance brokers car insurance rates commercial insurance health insurance quotes motor insurance companies which car insurance car quotes online online auto insurance flood insurance cheap auto insurance quotes car insurance agencies business health insurance term life insurance truck insurance professional indemnity insurance life insurance car insurance policy long term care insurance drive insurance buy insurance car ins motorcycle insurance quote critical illness insurance term insurance student health insurance home insurance comparison insurance rates insurance cover holiday insurance insurance sites online vehicle insurance quotes company website home insurance rates compare insurance buy insurance online affordable medical insurance car insurance coverage product liability insurance home contents insurance buy life insurance renters insurance group health insurance family health insurance motor insurance quote online mortgage insurance best home insurance personal insurance medical insurance property insurance life insurance agent group insurance aetna health insurance cheap medical insurance liability insurance rental insurance life insurance policy group life insurance general liability insurance insurance quotes online all car insurance companies best health insurance insurance plans life insurance for seniors van insurance website quote universal life insurance building insurance co insurance insurance car car insurance prices disability insurance insurance vehicle cheap vehicle insurance senior life insurance medical insurance plans insurance health house insurance life insurance quotes car quotes cheap home insurance business insurance com bank credit card lowest credit card eligibility no fee credit cards best credit card compare how can i apply for credit card business credit cards cheapest credit card company credit card corporate credit card apply for a credit card online 0 apr credit cards how can i get credit card get a credit card open credit card usa credit card instant credit card approval store credit cards credit card shopping airline miles credit card frequent flyer credit cards hotel credit cards best credit card deals compare credit miles credit card credit card consolidation college student credit cards how do i apply for a credit card gold credit card how to open credit card apply for credit card eligibility for credit card credit card verification credit card offers online credit card application form which credit card to apply how can i get a credit card credit card online apply credit cards uk 0 credit cards looking for credit card offers credit card information bank credit card application travel credit cards what is a credit card credit card sign up master credit card cash back cards platinum credit card compare visa cards credit bank credit card no interest credit cards cheap credit cards 0 credit card offers online credit new credit cards application of credit card how to apply for credit card apply card credit online credit card deals premier credit card mastercard credit card how to get credit card apply credit card credit card application credit companies creditcard cash back credit cards airline credit cards cash credit card credit card rates student credit cards apply credit card online how to apply credit card interest free credit card secured credit card best travel credit card capital one credit card online credit card application credit cards with no annual fee new credit card offers apply online credit card credit card apply online best rewards credit card city credit card how to get a credit card credit card counseling rebate credit card mastercard debit card credit card debt best credit cards to apply for best credit cards apply for credit card online credit card apply how to apply for a credit card apply for new credit card credit card rebate best credit card comparison apply for visa card online cim credit card good credit cards credit card cash back best cash back credit cards mastercard credit card application credit card checker credit card mastercard instant credit card card compare credit card rewards programs compare the best credit cards apply visa card cash rebate credit card bankruptcy credit cards card offers instant approval credit cards credit card online application credit cards for students how to sign up for credit card uk credit cards credit card account about credit card visa card apply online credit card compare site secured mastercard visa card application credit card rewards credit rating how can we get credit card visa credit card rewards card online credit card processing capital credit card credit card visa consolidate credit cards credit card processing credit card reviews apply new credit card business credit card application credit cards with cash back credit card reader credit card instant approval online apply credit card bad credit credit cards credit card selection online visa card pay with credit card credit card charges visa or mastercard credit card machine apply a credit card small business credit cards prepaid debit cards visa debit card mbna credit card credit card terminal card credit application credit card generator credit card balance credit card numbers credit card transfer credit card interest rates credit card interest gold card credit card online best rate credit cards credit card low interest visa card online online credit card how to apply a credit card 0 interest credit cards debit card the cheapest car insurance cost of car insurance best car insurance quotes insurance auto insurance quotes car get car insurance quotes online car insurance agent instant car insurance quote car insurance websites direct car insurance insure a car motor car insurance quote cheap car insurance online quotes for car insurance car insurers commercial car insurance motor insurance quote car insurance quotes online get a quote online international health insurance compare car insurance quotes insurance for car compare car insurance car insurance buy life insurance online compare auto insurance international medical insurance general car insurance cheap motor insurance low car insurance car insurance comparison company car insurance budget car insurance private health insurance online quote car insurance cheap motor car insurance car insurance for new drivers cheap car insurance quotes online online car insurance quotes get car insurance quotes car insurance quotes comparison motor car insurance car insurance quotes car insurance cheap comprehensive car insurance best auto insurance short term health insurance motor insurance cheap online car insurance online motor insurance quotes car insurance california buycarinsurance online vehicle insurance free car insurance quotes landlord insurance health insurance for children motorbike insurance monthly car insurance car insurance usa car insurance reviews car insurance renewal quotes vehicle insurance health insurance rates term life insurance quotes vehicle insurance quotes car insurance compare motor vehicle insurance best car insurance motor insurance online quote car insurance online quote life insurance online supplemental health insurance best car insurance rates car insurance discounts motor vehicle insurance quotes auto insurance cheap travel insurance bike insurance travel medical insurance buy car insurance online online motor insurance travel insurance quote get a quote for car insurance health insurance agent car insurance companies cheap car insurance companies travel insurance annual travel insurance commercial vehicle insurance permanent life insurance medical insurance quotes online car insurance cheap car insurance quotes car insurance online quote insurance online level term life insurance health insurance comparison how much is car insurance travel health insurance pet health insurance quotes on cars health ins travel insurance uk quote for car insurance get insurance quote online disability insurance quote temporary health insurance temporary insurance rental car insurance cheap health insurance auto insurance compare third party car insurance buy health insurance auto insurance quotes cheap insurance companies best term life insurance personal health insurance online quote insurance car insurance premium health insurance policies quotes for cars whole life insurance credit insurance cheap van insurance cheap term life insurance cheap motorcycle insurance compare life insurance car insurance cover health insurance motorcycle insurance short term car insurance health insurance coverage insurance qoute cheap life insurance house insurance quote car insurance uk health insurance companies cigna health insurance cheap insurance cheap car insurance uk compare health insurance car insurance for young drivers short term insurance online health insurance caravan insurance life insurance comparison direct insurance health insurance plans motor insurance online car insurance estimator accident insurance home insurance quotes nj car insurance new car insurance private medical insurance home insurance car insurance brokers car insurance rates commercial insurance health insurance quotes motor insurance companies which car insurance car quotes online online auto insurance flood insurance cheap auto insurance quotes car insurance agencies business health insurance term life insurance truck insurance professional indemnity insurance life insurance car insurance policy long term care insurance drive insurance buy insurance car ins motorcycle insurance quote critical illness insurance term insurance student health insurance home insurance comparison insurance rates insurance cover holiday insurance insurance sites online vehicle insurance quotes company website home insurance rates compare insurance buy insurance online affordable medical insurance car insurance coverage product liability insurance home contents insurance buy life insurance renters insurance group health insurance family health insurance motor insurance quote online mortgage insurance best home insurance personal insurance medical insurance property insurance life insurance agent group insurance aetna health insurance cheap medical insurance liability insurance rental insurance life insurance policy group life insurance general liability insurance insurance quotes online all car insurance companies best health insurance insurance plans life insurance for seniors van insurance website quote universal life insurance building insurance co insurance insurance car car insurance prices disability insurance insurance vehicle cheap vehicle insurance senior life insurance medical insurance plans insurance health house insurance life insurance quotes car quotes cheap home insurance business insurance com bank credit card lowest credit card eligibility no fee credit cards best credit card compare how can i apply for credit card business credit cards cheapest credit card company credit card corporate credit card apply for a credit card online 0 apr credit cards how can i get credit card get a credit card open credit card usa credit card instant credit card approval store credit cards credit card shopping airline miles credit card frequent flyer credit cards hotel credit cards best credit card deals compare credit miles credit card credit card consolidation college student credit cards how do i apply for a credit card gold credit card how to open credit card apply for credit card eligibility for credit card credit card verification credit card offers online credit card application form which credit card to apply how can i get a credit card credit card online apply credit cards uk 0 credit cards looking for credit card offers credit card information bank credit card application travel credit cards what is a credit card credit card sign up master credit card cash back cards platinum credit card compare visa cards credit bank credit card no interest credit cards cheap credit cards 0 credit card offers online credit new credit cards application of credit card how to apply for credit card apply card credit online credit card deals premier credit card mastercard credit card how to get credit card apply credit card credit card application credit companies creditcard cash back credit cards airline credit cards cash credit card credit card rates student credit cards apply credit card online how to apply credit card interest free credit card secured credit card best travel credit card capital one credit card online credit card application credit cards with no annual fee new credit card offers apply online credit card credit card apply online best rewards credit card city credit card how to get a credit card credit card counseling rebate credit card mastercard debit card credit card debt best credit cards to apply for best credit cards apply for credit card online credit card apply how to apply for a credit card apply for new credit card credit card rebate best credit card comparison apply for visa card online cim credit card good credit cards credit card cash back best cash back credit cards mastercard credit card application credit card checker credit card mastercard instant credit card card compare credit card rewards programs compare the best credit cards apply visa card cash rebate credit card bankruptcy credit cards card offers instant approval credit cards credit card online application credit cards for students how to sign up for credit card uk credit cards credit card account about credit card visa card apply online credit card compare site secured mastercard visa card application credit card rewards credit rating how can we get credit card visa credit card rewards card online credit card processing capital credit card credit card visa consolidate credit cards credit card processing credit card reviews apply new credit card business credit card application credit cards with cash back credit card reader credit card instant approval online apply credit card bad credit credit cards credit card selection online visa card pay with credit card credit card charges visa or mastercard credit card machine apply a credit card small business credit cards prepaid debit cards visa debit card mbna credit card credit card terminal card credit application credit card generator credit card balance credit card numbers credit card transfer credit card interest rates credit card interest gold card credit card online best rate credit cards credit card low interest visa card online online credit card how to apply a credit card 0 interest credit cards debit card
Thursday, 22 March 2018

Benarkah Indonesia akan "Musnah" pada 2030? Ini Kata Denny JA

Benarkah Indonesia akan "Musnah" pada 2030? Ini Kata Denny JA
Benarkah Indonesia akan "Musnah" pada 2030? Ini Kata Denny JA

Benarkah Indonesia akan "Musnah" pada 2030? Ini Kata Denny JA

Berita Islam 24H - Semoga itu tak terjadi. Itulah respons cepat saya selaku warga yang mencintai negaranya. Cukup dag dig dug saya membaca review analisis masa depan yang dituliskan dalam bentuk novel, berjudul Ghost Fleet. Tahun 2030 itu hanya berjarak 13 tahun dari sekarang. Astaga!

PW Singer nama penulisnya. Ia seorang ahli ilmu politik luar negeri, mendapatkan PhD dari Harvard University. Bersama rekannya August Cole, mereka mencoba memprediksi apa yang akan terjadi di masa depan dalam konflik global. Agar prediksi dan perspektifnya hidup, ia tuliskan analisisnya itu dalam drama novel.

Karena yang menulis seorang yang sangat ahli, novel ini bahkan menjadi perhatian serius petinggi militer di Amerika Serikat. James G Stavridis, pensiunan laksama angkatan laut Amerika Serikat, yang kini menjadi dekan di Tufts University jurusan hubungan internasional, menyebut buku ini (novel) merupakan cetak biru untuk memahami perang masa depan. Pemimpin militer di negeri Paman Sam itu mewajibkan para tentara membacanya.

Soal Indonesia sebenarnya disinggung lebih sebagai pembuka dan sambil lalu. Topik utama novel itu justru menceritakan bangkitnya China selaku super power yang bahkan melampaui Amerika Serikat.

Saat itu, komunisme China sudah usang. China dipimpin oleh "kelas baru" yang disebutnya sebagai Directorate. Ini elit gabungan antara kelas pengusaha kakap bersama para pemimpin tentara. Elite ini menggantikan pemimpin partai komunis yang segera dilupakan.

Lebih maju dibandingkan Amerika Serikat, China disamping lebih kaya, juga lebih cepat menemukan persenjataan supramodern, banyak jenisnya. Antara lain sejenis "cyber attack" yang mampu melumpuhkan aneka sistem elektronik bahkan yang paling canggih di Amerika Serikat.

Indonesia saat itu, di tahun 2030, disebut novel tersebut menjadi negara yang gagal. Ini kondisi yang jika lebih buruk lagi bisa mengarah pada kolaps seperti yang dialami Uni Soviet dan Yugoslavia, dua negara yang hilang dalam peta. Namun negara gagal tak otomatis semakin buruk jika bisa diperbaiki.

Segera saya mendalami lebih jauh apa itu Failed State, dan bagaimana pula ia diukur secara kuantitatif dalam Fragile State Index.

Failed State, negara gagal, atau dengan tanda kutip kita sebut negara yang mungkin "musnah," adalah kondisi ketika kemampuan pemerintah untuk mengelola kompleksitas negara berada pada titik rendah. Menurunnya wibawa pemerintah nasional mengancam keberlangsungan negara yang berdaulat. Meluas ketidaknyamanan warga.

Beberapa indikator dapat dikenali. Terjadinya penurunan kesejahteraan masyarakat yang signifikan, atau yang disebut economic collapse. Di samping bertambahnya kemiskinan, juga di sana sini terjadi kerusuhan akibat kondisi ekonomi.

Pada saat yang sama pemerintahan pusat punya legitimasi yang menurun di mata rakyatnya. Itu bisa beberapa sebab. Bisa karena "moral decay" terjadinya korupsi menghebat pada institusi pemerintahan yang diketahui luas. Bisa pula itu karena berkembangnya sentimen negatif, rasa ketidakadilan pemerintah dalam mengelola ragam kelompok komunal, ideologis, dan primordial.

Konsep negara gagal sendiri masih kontroversial dalam perdebatan konsep politik. Itu terminologi yang longgar dan sulit mengukurnya. Sebagian akademisi membuatnya lebih kuantitatif dan merumuskan dalam indeks yang disebut Fragile State Index.

Dalam Fragile State Index tahun 2017, sebenarnya rangking Indonesia tetap berada di posisi yang aman. Kondisi kita lebih baik, tentu saja dari beberapa negara seperti Iran, Iran, Pakistan. Namun juga Indonesia lebih buruk dibandingkan Malaysia, Brunei, Kuwait, apalagi negara Skandinavia. Rangking Indonesia berada di nomor 94 terburuk dari 178 negara yang diukur.

Dengan data kuantitatif di atas, prediksi novel Ghost Fleet itu agak berlebihan. Secara positif kita sebut saja prediksi novel itu berfungsi sebagai wake up call. Ada ahli yang dengan data dan ketajaman analisisnya sudah berkata: Hei, hati hati! Jangan terlalu santai. Negaramu bisa musnah!! Mengapa Uni Soviet akhirnya musnah dan hilang dalam peta? Sebuah negara akan pecah atau hilang hanya mungkin karena beberapa variabel yang terjadi sekaligus.

Ada ketidakpuasan daerah, bisa provinsi, atau negara bagian. Itu mungkin karena kondisi ekonomi: misalnya pembagian kue nasional yang tak adil, dan kesejahteraan rakyat di wilayah itu menurun.

Bisa juga karena non-ekonomi: keragaman primordial atau ideologi daerah tak bisa diakomodasi atau malah dianaktirikan pemerintah pusat. Dengan sendirinya muncul gagasan yang meluas: jika wilayah kita berdiri sendiri, kita akan lebih baik. Ayo merdeka!

Namun itu pun harus terjadi dalam situasi pemerintah pusat mengalami perpecahan. Tak ada strong leader yang mampu melakukan "elite settlement." Pada saat yang sama terjadi pula penurunan kapasitas ekonomi dan manajerial pemerintah pusat untuk membiayai akomodasi atas aneka tuntutan daerah, atau elit yang bersebrangan.

Jika itu situasinya, hanya dibutuhkan sebuah picu. Baik yang alamiah, ataupun direkayasa, hanya oleh sebuah "event," terbukalah kotak pandora yang membuat sebuah negara besar akan collopse, dan pecah menjadi beberapa negara kecil. Lebih celaka lagi perpecahan itu diwarnai kekerasan berdarah.

Indonesia tentu belum separah itu. Namun sudah ada beberapa gejala yang mengkwatirkan. Sudah 50 tahun lebih sejak 1965, luka soal PKI masih membara. Pemerintah tak kunjung mampu memuaskan semua pihak yang bertikai untuk melakukan "elite settlement," lalu bersama melupakannya.

Pemerintahpun membuat perpu yang secara sepihak tanpa pengadilan membubarkan sebuah ormas agama. Ini bukan saja dikritik oleh simpatisan ormas tersebut, tapi juga oleh lembaga internasional hak asasi manusia, sebagai kemunduran. Ketidak puasan pada kebijakan pemerintah mudah "digoreng" sebagai ketidak adilan primordial, dan menyebar lewat social media.

Pada saat yang sama, bahkan lembaga resmi pemerintah, BPS, mengumumkan jumlah orang miskin bertambah. Pembangunan untuk mengurangi kemiskinan. Tapi jika orang miskin bertambah, apapun rasionalisasinya, itu sentimen negatif.

MEnkeu membuat pula pernyataan publik bahwa kita "berhutang dalam rangka membayar hutang." Walau kemudian, pernyataan itu dipercanggih dan diralat, tapi sentimen negatif juga meluas.

Menurunnya kapasitas ekonomi yang terjadi serentak dengan ketidak puasan atas cara pemerintah mengelola kemajemukan primordial, itu hal yang rawan. Apalagi di era social media. Ini era yang mudah membagi ketidak puasan, bahkan dusta.

Hikmah dari semua: marilah kita berhenti bertikai yang tak perlu. Kompetisi politik hadapi dengan lebih rileks. Jokowi harus dipertahankan sampai 2019, sesuai pilpres yang sudah dijadwalkan. Jika ingin mengganti pemerintahan, harus lewat pemilihan umum. Upaya mengganti pemerintahan di luar pemilu hanya membuat negeri ini celaka.

Perbanyaklah silahturahmi antar elit politik. Semua kita mungkin masih luka satu sama lain. Namun semua kita berkepentingan negara ini tidak menjadi negara yang gagal pada tahun 2030 nanti.

Oleh: Denny JA, Akademisi/Konsultan Politik [b-islam24h.com / replubika]
Advertisement
Loading...